Portfolio
Kalshi event markets beyond sports — politics, courts, economics, world events.
Status: alpha phase — trading a small amount of real capital (~$2.4K live). Once we can prove our edge to a statistical degree, we plan to scale the venture.
Status: alpha phase — trading a small amount of real capital (~$2.4K live). Once we can prove our edge to a statistical degree, we plan to scale the venture.
Value over time
Total value
Contributed (deposits)
Deposit
Sale — realized gain
Live account value. Solid = live hourly marks; dashed = reconstructed from trade history (positions at cost). Reconciles with the live balance to the cent.
Positions
0 open · $0.00 at mark
Live account positions — current mark, net P&L since entry, short-window price moves, and the thesis behind each.
| Market | Side | Ct | Cost | Value | Net $ | Net % | 1h | 4h | 24h | 7d | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | |||||||||||
Alert Queue
new · open ·
taken · dismissed
Flag-for-review blotter — a human triages every alert; nothing auto-trades. Click a row to review the news, reasoning, and suggested action.
Conviction (the number at left, 0–100) is our confidence-weighted edge — how far the market looks mispriced and how sure our evaluator is about it. Higher = stronger idea; the queue is sorted highest-conviction first.
No alerts in the queue. The live detector and logic-check scanner will populate this once Stage 2 is on.