Sorry — this content is restricted to partners of Hemlock Holdings.
The public overview lives on the Home page.

Portfolio

Kalshi event markets beyond sports β€” politics, courts, economics, world events.
Status: alpha phase β€” trading a small amount of real capital (~$2.4K live). Once we can prove our edge to a statistical degree, we plan to scale the venture.
Current Positions

Value over time

Total value Contributed (deposits) Deposit Sale — realized gain
Live account value. Solid = live hourly marks; dashed = reconstructed from trade history (positions at cost). Reconciles with the live balance to the cent.

Positions

0 open · $0.00 at mark

Live account positions β€” current mark, net P&L since entry, short-window price moves, and the thesis behind each.

MarketSideCtCostValue Net $Net %1h4h24h7dThesis
No open positions.
Current Proposals

Proposed Trades

0 proposed · 0 staged · 0 placed

The production runner's suggestions — nothing auto-trades. Proposals are immutable (the engine's track record); Stage the ones you want, adjust them in the Placement Queue below, export for the partner, then record what actually filled.

No production runs yet. Run settings →
No open proposals. Run the production runner (desktop: python -m events_desk.production.runner --max-evals 10) or press Run now for a $0 dry run of the universe funnel.

Placement Queue

0 staged · 0 out with partner · 0 filled

The editable copies headed for execution. Adjust contracts / limit / note, Save, then Export to Sheet (clickable market links, columns for the partner to record fills) and send it. When he reports back, record the fills here — that writes our positions, since we can't see his account.

Nothing staged yet — select proposals above and press Stage selected.
Archive

Legacy Alerts

0 archived · stage-1 scanner, pre-runner era

The old flag-for-review blotter, kept for history. New work happens in Proposed Trades above.

Conviction (the number at left, 0–100) is our confidence-weighted edge — how far the market looks mispriced and how sure our evaluator is about it. Higher = stronger idea; the queue is sorted highest-conviction first.